Trainer Joel Diaz says that if there’s going to be anyone getting knocked out in the May 6 fight between Saul “Canelo” Alvarez (48-1-1, 34 KOs) and former WBC middleweight champion Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. (50-2-1, 32 KOs), it’s going to be Canelo. Diaz sees the 6-foot Chavez Jr. as being too big, and that will give him a big chance of scoring a knockout in this fight.
What Diaz doesn’t know is how well Chavez Jr. will react to him making the 164 ½ pound catch-weight for the fight. Diaz thinks there’s a potential that Chavez Jr. might not react well to losing the weight, which he hasn’t fought at in a long time. Diaz sees Chavez Jr. maybe having problems after he rehydrates for the fight. Chavez Jr. could be really slow in the fight, and that would allow the 26-year-old Canelo to use his boxing skills to win a decision. Diaz does not see Canelo being able to knockout Chavez Jr. due to his size.
“Chavez Jr. is looking really, really good. He’s taking it serious,” said trainer Julio Diaz. “We’re just expecting a great fight. He has not made that weight in a long time, and it could work against him depending on how he hydrates himself. He’s going to be strong, fresh or he’s going to be slow, and Canelo is going to box him around and go the distance and win a decision,” said Diaz.
Going by what Chavez Jr. has looked like in his recent video in working out on the heavy bag, he looks very slow right now. Hopefully, Chavez Jr. will have more speed on May 6th when he gets inside the ring with the 26-year-old Canelo, because right now, he looks painfully slow. Canelo will have a considerable advantage in hand speed and boxing ability in this fight.
Canelo might even have a weight advantage in the fight. Canelo’s last opponent Liam Smith rehydrated to 171 lbs. for their fight on September 17 last year, and he looked at least 10 lbs. lighter than Canelo. The redheaded Mexican star wasn’t weighed on the night of the fight. It didn’t matter though. He looked heavier than Smith.
Right now, Chavez Jr. is weighing 179lbs. If Canelo is going to come into the fight in the 180s, he’s going to very likely have a weight advantage over Chavez Jr. As such, it would be in Chavez Jr’s best interest to use his height, reach, and jab to box from the outside. Canelo has had problems in the past against fighters that boxed him from the distance like Floyd Mayweather Jr. and Erislandy Lara did. Austin Trout failed to use his reach to fight Canelo from the outside. He was at medium distance the entire fight in their match in 2013, and it cost him the fight, as he lost a close 12 round decision. Chavez Jr. has good boxing skills when he wants to.
”I always said if that fight finishes by a knockout, it’s going to be Chavez,” said Diaz. ”Chavez is going to knockout Canelo. He’s too big. If you go back and look at Liam Smith and Canelo, Canelo was too big for Liam Smith. It’s the same thing. Look at Canelo and [Miguel] Cotto. Canelo was too big. Every time he hit Cotto, he buckled him. Every time Cotto would hit Canelo, he wouldn’t move him around. Canelo is good. He’s still maturing. He’s still young. Canelo is looking better and better every time. Remember, he’s a young guy. I think the best thing to happen to Canelo was him losing to [Floyd] Mayweather. After he lost to Mayweather, his confidence went up because he didn’t get knocked out. It helped him out,” said Diaz.