Canelo-GGG: Would Canelo have fought Golovkin if hadn’t looked beatable lately?

Gennady Golovkin Golden Boy Promotions Saul

There are a high number of fans who believe that Saul Canelo Alvarez only chose to fight middleweight champion Gennady “GGG” Golovkin now because of him looking beatable in his last two outings against Danny Jacobs and Kell Brook. Before those last two fights by Golovkin, Canelo had no interested in fighting Golovkin.

Some fans think Canelo and his promoters at Golden Boy were deeply worried about what would happen if the Canelo-Golovkin fight got made. The thought was that if Golovkin destroyed Canelo by knocking him out early, it would ruin his pay-per-view status. Boxing fans are fickle. They disappear rapidly when one of their heroes are exposed. It doesn’t seem to matter if the fighter loses by decision or knockout.

The fans jump ship quickly when their fighters lose. One example of that is Manny Pacquiao. Before his loss to Floyd Mayweather Jr. in 2015, he was routinely bringing in over 1 million buys per fight. After the loss, Pacquiao’s buys have taken a nosedive down to the 300,000 area. It’s so bad now, Pacquiao is fighting on free television on ESPN. Could the same thing happen to Canelo if Golovkin sparks him out? I wouldn’t be surprised.

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It would be sad if Canelo and Golden Boy waited until they thought Golovkin got old at 35 before they finally decided to fight him. It’s not exactly heroic for a fighter to wait until his opponent is old before deciding to fight him. Of course, Canelo hasn’t been fighting the cream of the crop at 154 and 160 for a long, long time. You can argue that Canelo has been ducking a lot of fighters, not just Golovkin.

Personally, I don’t think Canelo wanted any part of Golovkin until he started to look less than the fighter he’d once been in his fights against Jacobs and Brook. You can argue that Canelo and Golden Boy were in a position that if they didn’t make the fight against Golovkin soon, they might blow a big money fight if Golovkin got beat by someone in the middleweight division.

Unlike Canelo, Golovkin has been facing the best opposition, which increases his chance of losing. Jacobs almost beat Golovkin. What would happen if Golovkin faces Sergiy Derevyancehnko, Jacobs [again] or Jermall Charlo? Golovkin might lose. So, Canelo and Golden Boy finally pulled the trigger on the fight. Canelo isn’t fighting for the WBC title in the Golovkin fight, which tells me he’s going to dodge Charlo if he beats Golovkin. I think Canelo is going to steer around the dangerous fighters at 160, unlike Golovkin.

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Here are the fighters that Canelo HASN’T fought at 154 and 160:

Danny Jacobs

Gennady Golovkin

Sergiy Derevyanchenko

Erickson Lubin

Jarrett Hurd

Jermell Charlo

Jermall Charlo

Demetrius Andrade

I can understand how Canelo might have never fought some of those guys, but how could he have not faced at least one of them? That doesn’t’ make a lot of sense unless he’s been purposefully dodging them to avoid a loss.

Here are the fighters that Canelo HAS been fighting in the last 3 years:

Amir Khan

Liam Smith

Alfredo Angulo

Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.

Erislandy Lara

The only good fighter of that bunch is Lara, and Canelo’s win over him has been questioned by a lot of boxing fans, as he did not appear to be the winner of that fight.

Canelo vs. Golovkin takes place on September 16 at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The fight will be televised on HBO PPV.