Gennady “GGG” Golovkin (37-0-1, 33 KOs) learned a painful lesson what happens when you fight Saul “Canelo” Alvarez (49-1-2, 34 KOs) and your name isn’t Floyd Mayweather Jr. Canelo is too popular right now to the sport of boxing for him to be beaten in a fight that goes the distance. That’s my opinion and the opinion of a lot of people in the sport.
Golovkin learned how to beat Canelo. After 12 rounds, Golovkin understood exactly what he needs to do for him to KO Canelo in the rematch. The Kazakhstan fighter discovered that Canelo can’t handle fighting at a speedy pace. His stocky physique won’t let him no matter what weight he comes into the rematch. Canelo is not built for fast pace fights. Like a lot of fighters that are built like him, Canelo only does well in fights that last 1 to 9 rounds. After that, he’s useless. Canelo also can’t fight at a fast pace. He’s a a fighter that only fights hard in the 1st minute of each round. After that, he’s winded and gasping for breath against the ropes.
Golovkin and Saul fought to a 12 round draw on September 16 on HBO PPV at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The assembled scores from the 3 officials that sat in the judges’ chairs were 114-114, 115-113 for Golovkin and 118-111 for Canelo.
Golovkin was told by his trainer Abel Sanchez why he needed to make sure the fight didn’t go the distance, and it turns out he was right. Canelo got a 12 round draw, and Golovkin is right back where he started from without having gained an inch from the fight other than a payday.
Golovkin found out all he needed to know about the flaws in the 27-year-old Canelo’s game. Those are flaws that Golovkin will surely capitalize on when they fight each other in the rematch next year on May 5, which Cinco de Mayo holiday. Canelo only fights on the Mexican holidays now in fighting 2 times per year.
These are the things Golovkin will take advantage of to send the redheaded Canelo down to defeat:
• Conditioning problems
• Body punching
• Canelo’s power inadequate
Golovkin is going to push an even faster pace in the rematch with Canelo, you can bet. Golovkin learned from his fight with Canelo that cannot handle it when he has to fend off attacks for a full round, Golovkin’s presence was too much for Canelo to withstand. The only thing that Golovkin slipped up on was not going after Canelo harder in the last 3 rounds.
Golovkin’s trainer Sanchez should have been stressing the importance of fighting harder in the last 3 round, considering that he had the same problem in his fight before that against Danny Jacobs. If that’s a stamina issue on Golovkin’s part, then he needs to make sure he fights better in the first 9 rounds so that he can avoid having his fights get to the later rounds.
If Golovkin had fought harder in rounds 1-3, he would have had a wide enough lead to win the fight no matter what happened in the last 3 rounds. The three judges gave the last quarter of the fight to Canelo. They didn’t give Golovkin any of the rounds from the 9th round on, which was a crime, because Golovkin fought well enough to win 2 out of the last 3 rounds.
Canelo will probably come in a little leaner for the rematch with Golovkin thinking it’ll improve his stamina and speed. I don’t think it will. Canelo has been having stamina problems since he was weighing in the 150s, and he now looks like he’s in the 180s. If Canelo loses weight now, it’s going to cost him punching power. He’s not going to hit as hard if he loses too much weight. But if Canelo keeps the fight on, he’s going to gas out quicker and not have the engine to do anything.